RESEARCH PROFILE

I am a professor in the Mathematics Institute and the School of Life Sciences.

My interests span epidemiology, ecology and evolution. I focus on the roles of spatial interactions and stochasticity (randomness), and how these can affect the dynamics, control and persistence of biological organisms.

More specifically, I have recently studied a range of applied epidemic problems, from the optimal vaccination of individuals during a pandemic influenza outbreak to the prediction and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Britain and the USA. I am particularly interested in the development of new models and techniques that will provide greater insights into population dynamics. Much of this new methodology centers around "pair-wise" approximation models for network-based processes, or moment-closure methods for stochastic processes.

CURRENT RESEARCH PROJECTS

• Full proposal: Modelling systems for managing bee disease: the epidemiology of European Foul Brood, with - Dr James C Bull - Biological Sciences, Funded by: BBSRC, Project Start Date: 01/11/2010 Project End Date: 31/10/2013
• InFER: Likelihood-based Inference for Epidemic Risk, with Prof Gareth O Roberts, Statistics, - - Professor Laura E E Green - Biological Sciences Professor Matthew J Keeling - Biological Sciences, Funded by: BBSRC, Project Start Date: 01/10/2009 Project End Date: 30/06/2013
• Subproject for Institution # 24345, Funded by: BBSRC, Project Start Date: 01/10/2009 Project End Date: 30/06/2013
• No cost extension to "State-of-the-art epidemic simulation", Funded by: Wellcome Trust, Project Start Date: 01/09/2012 Project End Date: 31/03/2013
• Supplement to 23191: State-of-the-art epidemic simulation, Funded by: Wellcome Trust, Project Start Date: 01/09/2010 Project End Date: 31/08/2012
  
  

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SELECTED PUBLICATIONS

• Amandine Lurette, Catherine Belloc and Matt Keeling(2011) 'Contact structure and Salmonella control in the network of pig movements in France' Preventive Veterinary Medicine 102 (1), 30 - 40 (0167-5877) [article]
• House, T., et al.(2011) 'Modelling the impact of local reactive school closures on critical care provision during an influenza pandemic' Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278 (1719), 2753 - 2760 (0962-8452) [article]
• Carslake, D., et al.(2011) 'Endemic cattle diseases : comparative epidemiology and governance' Royal Society of London. Philosophical Transactions. Biological Sciences 366 (1573), 1975 - 1986 (1471-2970) [article]
• House, T. and Keeling, M.J.(2011) 'Epidemic prediction and control in clustered populations' Journal Of Theoretical Biology 272 (1), 1 - 7 (0022-5193) [article]
• House, T. and Keeling, M.J.(2011) 'Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks' Journal Of The Royal Society Of Medicine 8 (54), 67 - 73 (0141-0768) [article]

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RESEARCH DEGREES SUPERVISED

• Cattle movement database and the modelling of bovine TB, Date of Completion: 2008
• Seasonal birth pulses in wildlife diseases, Date of Completion: 2006
• The effects of network structure on the spread of STDs., Date of Completion: 2003
• Mathematical Models of Infectious Diseases in Wildlife
• Models of spatial disease spread.
• Bayesian Models of disease spread