Dr Thomas House
I am interested in epidemiology, network theory, numerical probability, public health and inverse problems. I also support development of open-source software for epidemic modelling, in particular EpiStruct.
In 2013-14 I lectured CO901 Networks, Self Organisation and Emergence.
I lectured MA390: Topics in Mathematical Biology for the academic years 2010-11 and 2011-12. Handouts and other course materials are available on the course website.
I make a small MATLAB programme available for students (primarily on the Communicable Diseases and Immunisation module of the Warwick Child Health MSc) to investigate the properties of the simple SIR model. Download and extract this ZIP archive, then type:
at the MATLAB command prompt when all files are in the working directory.
I try to publish open-access where I can; where that isn't possible I try to make preprints available either here or on the arXiv; but if you can't get any of the papers below and would like to, please email me and I'll send you a preprint.
In peer-reviewed journals:
43. D. De Angelis, A. M. Presanis, P. J. Birrell, G. Scalia Tomba, T. House, ''Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sources,'' to appear in Epidemics.
42. T. House, ''Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks,'' eLife (2014) 10.7554/eLife.03908. [link] (open access)
41. F. Ball, T. Britton, T. House, V. Isham, D. Mollison, L. Pellis, G. Scalia-Tomba, ''Seven challenges for metapopulation models of epidemics, including households models,'' to appear in Epidemics. [link] (open access)
40. L. Pellis, F. Ball, S. Bansal, K. Eames, T. House, V. Isham, P. Trapman, ''Eight challenges for network epidemic models,'' to appear in Epidemics. [link] (open access)
39. P. A. Hancock, Y. Rehman, I. M. Hall, O. Edeghere, L. Danon, T. House and M. J. Keeling, ''Strategies for controlling non-transmissible infection outbreaks using a large human movement data set,'' PLoS Computational Biology 10:9 (2014) e1003809. [link] (open access)
38. T. Britton, T. House, A. L. Lloyd, D. Mollison, S. Riley, P. Trapman, ''Eight challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission,'' to appear in Epidemics. [link] (open access)
37. A. Black, T. House, M. J. Keeling and J. V. Ross, "The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics," Journal of Theoretical Biology 359 (2014) 45-53. [link] [preprint].
36. T. House, "Algebraic moment closure for population dynamics on discrete structures," to appear in Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. [arXiv:1405.4024]
34. T. House, “Heterogeneous clustered random graphs,” Europhysics Letters 105 (2014) 68006. [link] (open access)
32. M. Ritchie, L, Berthouze, T. House and I. Z. Kiss, "Higher-order structure and epidemic dynamics in clustered networks," Journal of Theoretical Biology 348 (2014) 21-32. [link] (open access)
30. L. Danon, J. M. Read, T. House, M. C. Vernon and M. J. Keeling, "Social encounter networks: characterising Great Britain," Proceedings of the Royal Society B 280:1765 (2013) 20131037. [link] (open access)
29. N. J. Inglis, H. Bagnall, K. Janmohamed, S. Suleman, A. Awofisayo, V. De Souza, E. Smit, R. Pebody, H. Mohamed, S. Ibbotson, G. E. Smith, T. House, B. Olowokure, “Measuring the effect of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09: the epidemiological experience in the West Midlands, England during the ‘containment’ phase,” Epidemiology and Infection (2013). [link]
26. A. Black, T. House, M.J Keeling, and J. V. Ross, "Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza," Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10:81 (2013) 20121019. [link] (open access)
25. T. House, J. V. Ross and D. Sirl, "How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final-size calculation," Proceedings of the Royal Society A 469:2150 (2013) 20120436. [link] [supplementary code] (open access)
24. T. House, N. Inglis, J. V. Ross, F. Wilson, S. Suleman, O. Edeghere, G. Smith, B. Olowokure and M. J. Keeling, "Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households," BMC Medicine 10:117 (2012). [link] (open access) - see also the Commentary on this article.
23. L. Danon, T. House, J. M. Read and M. J. Keeling, "Social encounter networks: collective properties and disease transmission," Journal of the Royal Society Interface 9:76 (2012) 2826-2833. [link] (open access)
22. A. J. Sutton, T. House, V. D. Hope, F. Ncube, L. Wiessing and M. Kretzschmar, "Modelling HIV in the injecting drug user population and the male homosexual population in a developed country context," Epidemics. 4:1 (2012) 48-56. [link]
19. M. Taylor, P. L. Simon, D. M. Green, T. House and I. Z. Kiss, "From Markovian to pairwise epidemic models and the performance of moment closure approximations," Journal of Mathematical Biology. 64:6 (2012) 1021-1042. [link] [Preprint version]
17. T. House, M. Baguelin, A. J. van Hoek, P. J. White, Z. Sadique, K. Eames, J. M. Read, N. Hens, A. Melegaro, W. J. Edmunds and M. J. Keeling, "Modelling the impact of local reactive school closures on critical care provision during an influenza pandemic,'' Proceedings of the Royal Society B 278:1719 (2011) 2753-2760. [link] (open access)
16. L. Danon, A. P. Ford, T. House, C. P. Jewell, M. J. Keeling, G. O. Roberts, J. V. Ross and M. C. Vernon, "Networks and the Epidemiology of Infectious Disease," (2011) Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases 2011:284909 special issue "Network Perspectives on Infectious Disease Dynamics". [link] [arXiv:1011.5950] (open access)
14. T. House and M. J. Keeling, "Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks," Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 8:54 (2011) 67-73. [link] (open access)
12. M. J. Keeling, L. Danon, M. C. Vernon and T. House, "Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations," PNAS 107:19 (2010) 8866-8870. [link] (open access)
11. T. House and M. J. Keeling, "The impact of contact tracing in clustered populations," PLoS Computational Biology 6:3 (2010) e1000721. [link] (open access)
10. J. V. Ross, T. House and M. J. Keeling, "Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households," PLoS ONE 5:3 (2010) e9666. [link] (open access)
9. T. House, I. Hall, L. Danon and M. J. Keeling, "Contingency planning for a deliberate release of smallpox in Great Britain - the role of geographical scale and contact structure," BMC Infectious Diseases 10:25 (2010). [link] (open access)
8. M. Tidlesley, T. House, M. Bruhn, R. Curry, M. O'Neill, G. Smith and M. J. Keeling, "The impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control," PNAS 107:3 (2010) 1041-1046. [link]
7. L. Danon, T. House and M. J. Keeling, "The role of routine versus random movements on the spread of disease in Great Britain," Epidemics 1:4 (2009) 250-258. [link]
6. T. House, G. Davies, L. Danon and M. J. Keeling, "A motif-based approach to network epidemics," Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 71 (2009) 1693-1706. [link] (open access)
(v) M. J. Keeling, M. Tildesley, T. House and L. Danon, "The Mathematics of Vaccination," Mathematics Today 49:1 (2013) 40-43.
(iv) T. House (2010), "Exact epidemic dynamics for generally clustered, complex networks". [arXiv:1006.3483]
(iii) T. House et. al. (2009), "Can Reactive School Closures help critical care provision during the current influenza pandemic?" PLoS Currents Influenza. [link]
(ii) T. House, G. Davies, L. Danon and M. J. Keeling, "Complex network structure and transmission dynamics," Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems (2009). [link to programme]
(i) T. House, "Aspects of Flux Compactification," DPhil thesis, University of Sussex (2005). [PDF]