My interests are very wide ranging but generally involve theoretical and applied Bayesian statistics and decision theory. I published a new book in September 2010 with Cambridge University Press on my particular take on Bayesian Decision Analysis.

I have spent many years studying the theory of graphical models, and Bayes Nets and have a particular interest in dynamic and causal variants of these. Over the last few years I have been developing a new graphical tool - more expressive than the discrete Bayes Net - called a Chain Event Graph and am currently investigating various dynamic and decision theoretic variants of these with Ann Nicholson, Peter Thwaites and Bob Cowell.

I am also applying Bayesian selection to various biological models, for example working with a team studying the use of Bayesian partition models for longitudinal cicadian gene expression, see the links below.

I have had a long interest in Bayesian decision making under conflict and have recently developed multiattribute utility models for training real time decision makers in such environments.

The links between algebraic geometry and various graphical models have also fascinated me for a long while especially their associated semi-algebraic structures and I have recently made some new contributions to this area.

Finally I continue to study Bayesian models of forensic evidence and have a special current interest in fingerprints.

As Chairman of RISCU - the consultancy arm of the statistics department at Warwick - and act as a consultant for the university for a number of well-known companies.

To check out some examples of my current academic work see my more recent publications given below. For your convenience these are subdivided into my publications in Statistics, Decision Analysis, AI and Maths, and Mathematical Biology.

Contact him at J.Q.Smith@warwick.ac.uk

Publications