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Working Futures, 2014-2024

WF UKCES Cover GraphicWorking Futures 2014-2024 is the sixth in a series of quantitative assessments of employment prospects in the UK labour market over a 10 year horizon, created for the UK Commission for Employment and Skills by Cambridge Econometrics and the Warwick Institute for Employment Research. It presents historical trends and future prospects for output and employment by industry sector for the UK and its constituent nations and the English regions. The prime focus of Working Futures is on the demand for skills as measured by employment by occupation and qualification, although labour supply measures are also included. Working Futures is intended to provide useful labour market information that can help to inform policy development and strategy around skills, careers and employment, for both policy makers and a much wider audience. The projections were prepared in late 2015 and early 2016 and are based on a view of the likely medium-term evolution of the economy at that time.

A set of Excel workbooks have been created containing projections for the UK, its constituent nations, the regions of England and sub-regional areas in all four countries of the UK. All of these can be downloaded from this web page.

Sub-national/sub-regional workbooks

Sub-national/sub-regional workbooks (for Local Enterprise Partnerships in England, Economic Regions in Wales, Scottish Enterprise Regions and Workorce Development Forums in Northern Ireland) can only be accessed by persons who hold a Chancellor’s Notice. If you already have such a Notice, click on the link below to go to the download page, which is password controlled (please email workingfutures at warwick dot ac dot uk with the above details for access). Those with a Notice will be sent the password to access this page and the workbooks listed on it.

Click here to download sub-national/sub-regional workbooks

Guidance for those who do not have a Notice, but want to access sub-national/sub-regional workbooks

The Excel workbooks for subnational and subregional areas contain data derived from the Annual Business Inquiry (ABI) and Business Register and Employment Survey (BRES). Access to and dissemination of such data is subject to the terms of the Statistics of Trade Act 1947. Therefore, only those who have a Chancellor of the Exchequer’s Notice, which permits access to ABI/BRES data may view the contents of these workbooks. It is a criminal offence to pass data within these workbooks on to a third party, including other individuals within your own organisation, or to publish the data in such a manner as to allow the identification of individual respondents.

The Office for National Statistics issues Notices. To apply for a Notice you must have your own Nomis account. You will be asked for the following information: your own contact details; the names and, if applicable, Nomis identifiers of any additional researchers who will have access to confidential data; a descriptive title stating the statistical purpose of the research and geographical area of study; and the contact details of any research initiators/sponsors to whom you will pass confidential data. If approved, you will be emailed an electronic copy of your Notice. N.B. only UK based individuals may apply for a Notice. For questions about Notices, contact the BRES Notice applications team (e-mail: notice.applications@ons.gov.uk or tel: 01633 456903). More infromation is also available on the Nomis website.

After signing in to your NOMIS account, click here to apply for a BRES Notice. Please note that it is likely to take at least five working days for BRES to reply. Once you have a Notice, e-mail workingfutures at warwick dot ac dot uk with the reference number of the notice, your Nomis identifier and your e-mail address and we will send you an e-mail with the password you need in order to access the sub-regional workbooks download page.


National and regional workbooks

Excel workbooks containing results for the nations of the UK and regions of England can be downloaded without restriction by clicking on the links in the table below.

Nation of the UK or
region of England
75 Industries 22 Industries 6 Industries Total
employment

London

75LO.xlsm - 68.1 MB - ZIP

22LO.xlsm - 20.6 MB - ZIP

6LO.xlsm - 6.7 MB - ZIP

AllLO.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

South East

75SE.xlsm - 67.2 MB - ZIP

22SE.xlsm - 21.0 MB - ZIP

6SE.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllSE.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

East of England

75EE.xlsm - 67.0 MB - ZIP

22EE.xlsm - 20.5 MB - ZIP

6EE.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllEE.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

South West

75SW.xlsm - 67.2 MB - ZIP

22SW.xlsm - 20.7 MB - ZIP

6SW.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllSW.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

West Midlands

75WM.xlsm - 68.1 MB - ZIP

22WM.xlsm - 20.5 MB - ZIP

6WM.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllWM.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

East Midlands

75EM.xlsm - 67.4 MB - ZIP

22EM.xlsm - 21.0 MB - ZIP

6EM.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllEM.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

Yorkshire and the Humber

75YH.xlsm - 66.9 MB - ZIP

22YH.xlsm - 20.6 MB - ZIP

6YH.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllYH.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

North West

75NW.xlsm - 65.7 MB - ZIP

22NW.xlsm - 19.9 MB - ZIP

6NW.xlsm - 6.7 MB - ZIP

AllNW.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

North East

75NE.xlsm - 67.0 MB - ZIP

22NE.xlsm - 20.4 MB - ZIP

6NE.xlsm - 6.7 MB - ZIP

AllNE.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

Wales

75WA.xlsm - 66.1 MB - ZIP

22WA.xlsm - 20.1 MB - ZIP

6WA.xlsm - 6.7 MB - ZIP

AllWA.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

Scotland

75SC.xlsm - 64.5 MB - ZIP

22SC.xlsm - 19.6 MB - ZIP

6SC.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllSC.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

Northern Ireland

75NI.xlsm - 66.9 MB - ZIP

22NI.xlsm - 20.5 MB - ZIP

6NI.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllNI.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

England

75EN.xlsm - 68.1 MB - ZIP

22EN.xlsm - 21.0 MB - ZIP

6EN.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllEN.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

Great Britain

75GB.xlsm - 67.0 MB - ZIP

22GB.xlsm - 20.5 MB - ZIP

6GB.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllGB.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP

United Kingdom

75UK.xlsm - 66.8 MB - ZIP

22UK.xlsm - 20.4 MB - ZIP

6UK.xlsm - 6.8 MB - ZIP

AllUK.xlsm - 2.2 MB - ZIP


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This page presents the results from the latest in a series of projections of employment, the research for which was supported by the UKCES and Department for Education.

The results from all six Working Futures excercises can be found from here.

Published reports on the Working Futures 2014-24 exercise can be downloaded by clicking on the icons below:

Main report thumb_wfmain.png

Headline summary report

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Technical Report thumb_techrep.png
Technical Annexes thumb_wfannex.png
Headline slides thumb_headpres.png
User guide to workbooks thumb_ug.png