As above

WBSFERC

Working Paper Series

Series Number Author(s) Title
WP09-04 Ba Chu and Roman Kozhan

Spurious Regressions of Stable AR(p) Processes with Structural Breaks                                                     Download (PDF)

WP09-03 Aleksandar Mijatovic and Paul Schneider    

Empirical Asset Pricing with Nonlinear Risk Premia                                                                                     Download (PDF)

WP09-02 Ingmar Nolte and Valeri Voev Least Squares Inference on Integrated Volatility and the Relationship between Efficient Prices and Noise Download (PDF)
WP09-01 Sandra Lechner and Ingmar Nolte

Customer Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market: Empirical Evidence from an Internet Trading Platform Download (PDF)

Series Number Author(s) Title
WP08-07 Roman Kozhan and Rozalia Pal Firms' Investment under Financial Constraints: A Euro Area Investigation
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WP08-06 Roman Kozhan and Mark Salmon On Uncertainty, Market Timing and the Predictability of Tick by Tick Exchange Rates
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WP08-05 Roman Kozhan and Mark Salmon Uncertainty Aversion in a Heterogeneous AgentModel of Foreign Exchange Rate Formation
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WP08-04 Roman Kozhan Non-Additive Anonymous Games
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WP08-03 Thomas Lux Stochastic Behavioral Asset Pricing Models and the Stylized Facts
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WP08-02 Reiner Franke A Short Note on the Problematic Concept of Excess Demand in Asset Pricing Models with Mean-Variance Optimization
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WP08-01 Alexandra Dias Semi-parametric estimation of joint large movements of risky assets
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP07-13 Timur Yusupov and Thomas Lux The Efficient Market Hypothesis through the Eyes of an Artificial Technical Analyst: An Application of a New Chartist Methodology to High-Frequency Stock Market Data
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    WP07-12 Liu Ruipeng, Di Matteo and Thomas Lux True and Apparent Scaling: The Proximity of the Markov- Switching Multifractal Model to Long-Range Dependence
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    WP07-11 Thomas Lux Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey
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    WP07-10 Thomas Lux Collective Opinion Formation in a Business Climate Survey
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    WP07-09 Thomas Lux Application of Statistical Physics in Finance and Economics
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    WP07-08 Reiner Franke A Prototype Model of Speculative Dynamics With Position-Based Trading
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    WP07-07 Reiner Franke Estimation of a Microfounded Herding Model On German Survey Expectations
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    WP07-06 Cees Diks and Pietro Dindo Informational differences and learning in an asset market with boundedly rational agents
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    WP07-05 Markus Demary Who Do Currency Transaction Taxes Harm More: Short-Term Speculators or Long-Term Investors?
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    WP07-04 Markus Demary A Heterogenous Agents Model Usable for the Analysis of Currency Transaction Taxes
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    WP07-03 Mikhail Anufriev and Pietro Dindo Equilibrium Return and Agents' Survival in a Multiperiod Asset Market: Analytic Support of a Simulation Model
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    WP07-02 Simone Alfarano and Michael Milakovic Should Network Structure Matter in Agent-Based Finance?
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    WP07-01 Simone Alfarano and Reiner Franke A Simple Asymmetric Herding Model to Distinguish Between Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP06-24 Roman Kozhan Multiple Priors and No-Transaction Region
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    WP06-23 Martin Ellison, Lucio Sarno and Jouko Vilmunen Caution and Activism? Monetary Policy Strategies in an Open Economy
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    WP06-22 Matteo Marsili and Giacomo Raffaelli Risk bubbles and market instability
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    WP06-21 Mark Salmon and Christoph Schleicher Pricing Multivariate Currency Options with Copulas
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    WP06-20 Thomas Lux and Taisei Kaizoji Forecasting Volatility and Volume in the Tokyo Stock Market: Long Memory, Fractality and Regime Switching
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    WP06-19 Thomas Lux The Markov-Switching Multifractal Model of Asset Returns: GMM Estimation and Linear Forecasting of Volatility
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    WP06-18 Peter Heemeijer, Cars Hommes, Joep Sonnemans and Jan Tuinstra Price Stability and Volatility in Markets with Positive and Negative Expectations Feedback: An Experimental Investigation
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    WP06-17 Giacomo Raffaelli and Matteo Marsili Dynamic instability in a phenomenological model of correlated assets
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    WP06-16 Ginestra Bianconi and Matteo Marsili Effects of degree correlations on the loop structure of scale free networks
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    WP06-15 Pietro Dindo and Jan Tuinstra A Behavioral Model for Participation Games with Negative Feedback
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    WP06-14 C. Diks and Florian Wagener A weak bifucation theory for discrete time stochastic dynamical systems
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    WP06-13 Markus Demary Transaction Taxes, Traders’ Behavior and Exchange Rate Risks
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    WP06-12 Andrea De Martino and Matteo Marsili Statistical mechanics of socio-economic systems with heterogeneous agents
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    WP06-11 William Brock, Cars Hommes and Florian Wagener More hedging instruments may destabilize markets
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    WP06-10 Ginwestra Bianconi and Roberto Mulet On the flexibility of complex systems
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    WP06-09 Ginwestra Bianconi and Matteo Marsili Effect of degree correlations on the loop structure of scale-free networks.
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    WP06-08 Ginwestra Bianconi, Tobias Galla and Matteo Marsili Effects of Tobin Taxes in Minority Game Markets
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    WP06-07 Ginwestra Bianconi, Andrea De Martino, Felipe Ferreira and Matteo Marsili Multi-asset minority games
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    WP06-06 Ba Chu, John Knight and Stephen Satchell Optimal Investment and Asymmetric Risk for a Large Portfolio: A Large Deviations Approach
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    WP06-05 Ba Chu and Soosung Hwang The Asymptotic Properties of AR(1) Process with the Occasionally Changing AR Coefficient
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    WP06-04 Ba Chu and Soosung Hwang An Asymptotics of Stationary and Nonstationary AR(1) Processes with Multiple Structural Breaks in Mean
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    WP06-03 Ba Chu Optimal Long Term Investment in a Jump Diffusion Setting: A Large Deviation Approach
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    WP06-02 Mikhail Anufriev and Gulio Bottazzi Price and Wealth Dynamics in a Speculative Market with Generic Procedurally Rational Traders
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    WP06-01 Simone Alfarano, Thomas Lux and Friedrich Wagner Empirical Validation of Stochastic Models of Interacting Agents: A “Maximally Skewed” Noise Trader Model ?
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP05-17 Shaun Bond and Soosung Hwang Smoothing, Nonsynchronous Appraisal and Cross-Sectional Aggreagation in Real Estate Price Indices
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    WP05-16 Mark Salmon, Gordon Gemmill and Soosung Hwang Performance Measurement with Loss Aversion
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    WP05-15 Philippe Curty and Matteo Marsili Phase coexistence in a forecasting game
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    WP05-14 Matthew Hurd, Mark Salmon and Christoph Schleicher Using Copulas to Construct Bivariate Foreign Exchange Distributions with an Application to the Sterling Exchange Rate Index (Revised)
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    WP05-13 Lucio Sarno, Daniel Thornton and Giorgio Valente The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields
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    WP05-12 Lucio Sarno, Ashoka Mody and Mark Taylor A Cross-Country Financial Accelorator: Evidence from North America and Europe
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    WP05-11 Lucio Sarno Towards a Solution to the Puzzles in Exchange Rate Economics: Where Do We Stand?
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    WP05-10 James Hodder and Jens Carsten Jackwerth Incentive Contracts and Hedge Fund Management
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    WP05-09 James Hodder and Jens Carsten Jackwerth Employee Stock Options: Much More Valuable Than You Thought
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    WP05-08 Gordon Gemmill, Soosung Hwang and Mark Salmon Performance Measurement with Loss Aversion
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    WP05-07 George Constantinides, Jens Carsten Jackwerth and Stylianos Perrakis Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options
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    WP05-06 Elisa Luciano and Wim Schoutens A Multivariate Jump-Driven Financial Asset Model
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    WP05-05 Cees Diks and Florian Wagener Equivalence and bifurcations of finite order stochastic processes
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    WP05-04 Devraj Basu and Alexander Stremme CAY Revisited: Can Optimal Scaling Resurrect the (C)CAPM?
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    WP05-03 Ginwestra Bianconi and Matteo Marsili Emergence of large cliques in random scale-free networks.
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    WP05-02 Simone Alfarano, Thomas Lux and Friedrich Wagner Time-Variation of Higher Moments in a Financial Market with Heterogeneous Agents: An Analytical Approach
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    WP05-01 Abhay Abhayankar, Devraj Basu and Alexander Stremme Portfolio Efficiency and Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information: A Unified Approach
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP04-19 Xiaohong Chen, Yanqin Fan and Andrew Patton Simple Tests for Models of Dependence Between Multiple Financial Time Series, with Applications to U.S. Equity Returns and Exchange Rates
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    WP04-18 Valentina Corradi and Walter Distaso Testing for One-Factor Models versus Stochastic Volatility Models
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    WP04-17 Valentina Corradi and Walter Distaso Estimating and Testing Sochastic Volatility Models using Realized Measures
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    WP04-16 Valentina Corradi and Norman Swanson Predictive Density Accuracy Tests
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    WP04-15 Roel Oomen Properties of Bias Corrected Realized Variance Under Alternative Sampling Schemes
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    WP04-14 Roel Oomen Properties of Realized Variance for a Pure Jump Process: Calendar Time Sampling versus Business Time Sampling
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    WP04-13 Richard Clarida, Lucio Sarno, Mark Taylor and Giorgio Valente The Role of Asymmetries and Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates
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    WP04-12 Lucio Sarno, Daniel Thornton and Giorgio Valente Federal Funds Rate Prediction
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    WP04-11 Lucio Sarno and Giorgio Valente Modeling and Forecasting Stock Returns: Exploiting the Futures Market, Regime Shifts and International Spillovers
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    WP04-10 Lucio Sarno and Giorgio Valente Empirical Exchange Rate Models and Currency Risk: Some Evidence from Density Forecasts
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    WP04-09 Ilias Tsiakas Periodic Stochastic Volatility and Fat Tails
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    WP04-08 Ilias Tsiakas Is Seasonal Heteroscedasticity Real? An International Perspective
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    WP04-07 Damin Challet, Andrea De Martino, Matteo Marsili and Isaac Castillo Minority games with finite score memory
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    WP04-06 Basel Awartani, Valentina Corradi and Walter Distaso Testing and Modelling Market Microstructure Effects with an Application to the Dow Jones Industrial Average
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    WP04-05 Andrew Patton and Allan Timmermann Properties of Optimal Forecasts under Asymmetric Loss and Nonlinearity
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    WP04-04 Andrew Patton Modelling Asymmetric Exchange Rate Dependence
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    WP04-03 Alessio Sancetta Decoupling and Convergence to Independence with Applications to Functional Limit Theorems
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    WP04-02 Alessio Sancetta Copula Based Monte Carlo Integration in Financial Problems*
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    WP04-01 Abhay Abhayankar, Lucio Sarno and Giorgio Valente Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence on the Economic Value of Predictability
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP02-12 Paolo Zaffaroni Gaussian inference on Certain Long-Range Dependent Volatility Models
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    WP02-11 Paolo Zaffaroni Aggregation and Memory of Models of Changing Volatility
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    WP02-10 Jerry Coakley, Ana-Maria Fuertes and Andrew Wood Reinterpreting the Real Exchange Rate - Yield Diffential Nexus
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    WP02-09 Gordon Gemmill and Dylan Thomas Noise Training, Costly Arbitrage and Asset Prices: evidence from closed-end funds
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    WP02-08 Gordon Gemmill Testing Merton's Model for Credit Spreads on Zero-Coupon Bonds
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    WP02-07 George Christodoulakis and Steve Satchell On th Evolution of Global Style Factors in the MSCI Universe of Assets
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    WP02-06 George Christodoulakis Sharp Style Analysis in the MSCI Sector Portfolios: A Monte Caro Integration Approach
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    WP02-05 George Christodoulakis Generating Composite Volatility Forecasts with Random Factor Betas
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    WP02-04 Claudia Riveiro and Nick Webber Valuing Path Dependent Options in the Variance-Gamma Model by Monte Carlo with a Gamma Bridge
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    WP02-03 Christian Pedersen and Soosung Hwang On Empirical Risk Measurement with Asymmetric Returns Data
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    WP02-02 Roy Batchelor and Ismail Orgakcioglu Event-related GARCH: the impact of stock dividends in Turkey
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    WP02-01 George Albanis and Roy Batchelor Combining Heterogeneous Classifiers for Stock Selection
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP01-16 Soosung Hwang and Steve Satchell GARCH Model with Cross-sectional Volatility; GARCHX Models
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    WP01-15 Soosung Hwang and Steve Satchell Tracking Error: Ex-Ante versus Ex-Post Measures
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    WP01-14 Soosung Hwang and Steve Satchell The Asset Allocation Decision in a Loss Aversion World
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    WP01-13 Soosung Hwang and Mark Salmon An Analysis of Performance Measures Using Copulae
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    WP01-12 Soosung Hwang and Mark Salmon A New Measure of Herding and Empirical Evidence
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    WP01-11 Richard Lewin and Steve Satchell The Derivation of New Model of Equity Duration
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    WP01-10 Massimiliano Marcellino and Mark Salmon Robust Decision Theory and the Lucas Critique
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    WP01-09 Jerry Coakley, Ana-Maria Fuertes and Maria-Teresa Perez Numerical Issues in Threshold Autoregressive Modelling of Time Series
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    WP01-08 Jerry Coakley, Ana-Maria Fuertes and Ron Smith Small Sample Properties of Panel Time-series Estimators with I(1) Errors
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    WP01-07 Jerry Coakley and Ana-Maria Fuertes The Felsdtein-Horioka Puzzle is Not as Bad as You Think
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    WP01-06 Jerry Coakley and Ana-Maria Fuertes Rethinking the Forward Premium Puzzle in a Non-linear Framework
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    WP01-05 George Christodoulakis Co-Volatility and Correlation Clustering: A Multivariate Correlated ARCH Framework
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    WP01-04 Frank Critchley, Paul Marriott and Mark Salmon On Preferred Point Geometry in Statistics
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    WP01-03 Eric Bouyé and Nicolas Gaussel and Mark Salmon Investigating Dynamic Dependence Using Copulae
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    WP01-02 Eric Bouyé Multivariate Extremes at Work for Portfolio Risk Measurement
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    WP01-01 Erick Bouyé, Vado Durrleman, Ashkan Nikeghbali, Gael Riboulet and Thierry Roncalli Copulas: an Open Field for Risk Management
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP00-06 Soosung Hwang and Steve Satchell Valuing Information Using Utility Functions
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    WP00-05 Soosung Hwang Properties of Cross-sectional Volatility
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    WP00-04 Soosung Hwang and Steve Satchell Calculating the Miss-specification in Beta from Using a Proxy for the Market Portfolio
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    WP00-03 Laun Middleton and Stephen Satchell Deriving the APT when the Number of Factors is Unknown
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    WP00-02 George A. Christodoulakis and Steve Satchell Evolving Systems of Financial Returns: Auto-Regressive Conditional Beta
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    WP00-01 Christian S. Pedersen and Stephen Satchell Evaluating the Performance of Nearest Neighbour Algorithms when Forecasting US Industry Returns
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    Series Number Author(s) Title
    WP99-21 Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn and Ian Marsh How do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?
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    WP99-20 Soosung Hwang, John Knight and Stephen Satchell Forecasting Volatility using LINEX Loss Functions
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    WP99-19 Soosung Hwang and Steve Satchell Improved Testing for the Efficiency of Asset Pricing Theories in Linear Factor Models
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    WP99-18 Soosung Hwang and Stephen Satchell The Disappearance of Style in the US Equity Market
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    WP99-17 Soosung Hwang and Stephen Satchell Modelling Emerging Market Risk Premia Using Higher Moments
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    WP99-16 Soosung Hwang and Stephen Satchell Market Risk and the Concept of Fundamental Volatility: Measuring Volatility Across Asset and Derivative Markets and Testing for the Impact of Derivatives Markets on Financial Markets
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    WP99-15 Soosung Hwang The Effects of Systematic Sampling and Temporal Aggregation on Discrete Time Long Memory Processes and their Finite Sample Properties
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    WP99-14 Ronald MacDonald and Ian Marsh Currency Spillovers and Tri-Polarity: a Simultaneous Model of the US Dollar, German Mark and Japanese Yen
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    WP99-13 Robert Hillman Forecasting Inflation with a Non-linear Output Gap Model
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    WP99-12 Robert Hillman and Mark Salmon From Market Micro-structure to Macro Fundamentals: is there Predictability in the Dollar-Deutsche Mark Exchange Rate?
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    WP99-11 Renzo Avesani, Giampiero Gallo and Mark Salmon On the Evolution of Credibility and Flexible Exchange Rate Target Zones
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    WP99-10 Paul Marriott and Mark Salmon An Introduction to Differential Geometry in Econometrics
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    WP99-09 Mark Dixon, Anthony Ledford and Paul Marriott Finite Sample Inference for Extreme Value Distributions
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    WP99-08 Ian Marsh and David Power A Panel-Based Investigation into the Relationship Between Stock Prices and Dividends
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    WP99-07 Ian Marsh An Analysis of the Performance of European Foreign Exchange Forecasters
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    WP99-06 Frank Critchley, Paul Marriott and Mark Salmon An Elementary Account of Amari's Expected Geometry
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    WP99-05 Demos Tambakis and Anne-Sophie Van Royen Bootstrap Predictability of Daily Exchange Rates in ARMA Models
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    WP99-04 Christopher Neely and Paul Weller Technical Analysis and Central Bank Intervention
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    WP99-03 Christopher Neely and Paul Weller Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Re-examination
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    WP99-02 Christopher Neely and Paul Weller Intraday Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market
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    WP99-01 Anthony Hall, Soosung Hwang and Stephen Satchell Using Bayesian Variable Selection Methods to Choose Style Factors in Global Stock Return Models
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    Series Number Author Title
    WP98-05 Soosung Hwang and Stephen E. Satchell Implied Volatility Forecasting: A Compaison of Different Procedures Including Fractionally Integrated Models with Applications to UK Equity Options
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    WP98-04 Roy Batchelor and David Peel Rationality Testing under Asymmetric Loss
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    WP98-03 Roy Batchelor Forecasting T-Bill Yields: Accuracy versus Profitability
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    WP98-02 Adam Kurpiel and Thierry Roncalli Option Hedging with Stochastic Volatility
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    WP98-01 Adam Kurpiel and Thierry Roncalli Hopscotch Methods for Two State Financial Models
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    Page contact: Rhona MacDonald Last revised: Mon 6 Sep 2010
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