Professor Matt Keeling
Professor
Director of Zeeman Institute (SBIDER)
Email: M.J.Keeling@warwick.ac.uk
Phone: 024 765 24618
Office: Senate House
Twitter: @MattJKeeling
Research Clusters
Microbiology & Infectious Disease
Warwick Centres and GRPs
Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology & Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research (SBIDER)
Vacancies and Opportunities
For PhD and postdoctoral opportunities and interest in potential collaborations, please contact me at the above email address.
Research Interests
Recent decades have shown that humans and our environment remain at risk from a large number of infectious diseases. COVID has shown how quickly a new infection can spread around the globe. Malaria and other tropical disease still threaten the lives of millions. While our agriculture is also under threat from a range of domestic and invading pathogens. This is not a new phenomenon; diseases have been a constant burden throughout human history: bubonic plague is estimated to have killed up to a third of the population of Europe in the 14th century.
Modern advances have delivered a range of new tools with which infections can be tackled. The development, approval and deployment of vaccines against COVID-19 in under a year is testament to the substantial advances that have occurred in recent years. However, for any outbreak, there remain three major questions: How big is the epidemic likely to be? How should we target controls to have the maximum benefit? What are the costs and benefits of any control? All three of these questions require mathematical models – these take the recorded biology about the transmission from one individual to another and translate it to population scale projections. As such, mathematical models give us an insight into the future for a carefully specified set of scenarios and assumptions.
My research is based around constructing such models and fitting them to the available epidemic data. As such, I attempt to understand the way in which the infection is spreading through the population, build such insights into mathematical models and then try to align the model output with all available data. The ultimate goal is robust predictions, such that policy makers are best informed about the likely consequences of any action (or inaction).
Research: Technical Summary
I am interested in using a range of mathematical modelling techniques to understand complex biological problems. Much of my work focuses on infectious diseases, how they spread through populations and how they can be controlled. I’m particularly interested in how the predictions of models can be used to help deliver effective policy advice, highlighting the many trade-offs present. I have worked on the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Outbreak, the 2009 Swine flu pandemic, and most recently the COVID-19 pandemic, providing projections and analyses to government agencies.
Much of my work concerns control of diseases by vaccination, predicting the optimal targeting of vaccination and understand the cost-benefit of any particular vaccine programme. I led the team that provided the cost-effectiveness analysis for gender-neutral vaccination against Human Papillomavirus (adding boys to the existing girls programme) and led the modelling work on the impact of vaccination against COVID-19.
I have helped develop models for a number of infectious diseases including: Avian influenza, Blue-tongue, Bovine tuberculosis, Foot-rot and Foot-and-mouth disease in livestock; and in humans COVID-19, Measles, Whooping Cough, Human Papillomavirus, (seasonal and pandemic) Influenza, Pneumococcal infection, Plague and Neglected Tropical Diseases (especially sleeping sickness). More broadly, I’m interested in how the stochastic individual-nature of populations, coupled with a network of interactions, shapes the short and long-term dynamics of infection. In this context I’m interested in developing novel forms of mathematical model that can explain the impact of these two critical heterogeneities. Some of this research is concerned with household models, understanding how the far greater risk of transmission within a household shapes an outbreak and what is means for effective control.
In addition to infectious diseases, I’m generally interested in a wide range of problems in ecology and evolution – again using mathematical models to explain the world around us.
Professor, University of Warwick 2007
Reader, University of Warwick 2005
Lecturer, University of Warwick 2002
Royal Society University Research Fellowship, 1998-2006
Wellcome Trust Fellowship, 1995-1998
PhD, Mathematical Modelling, 1995
Master in Mathematics, 1992
B.A. Mathematics, 1991
- Carson, Jake, Keeling, Matthew James, Wyllie, David, Ribeca, Paolo, Didelot, Xavier, Hepp, Crystal, 2024. Inference of infectious disease transmission through a relaxed bottleneck using multiple genomes per host. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 41 (1)
- Cavallaro, Massimo, Moran, Ed, Collyer, Benjamin, McCarthy, Noel D., Green, Christopher, Keeling, Matt J., 2023. Informing antimicrobial stewardship with explainable AI. PLOS Digital Health, 2 (1)
- Helekal, David, Keeling, Matthew James, Grad, Yonatan H., Didelot, Xavier, 2023. Estimating the fitness cost and benefit of antimicrobial resistance from pathogen genomic data. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 20 (203)
- Brand, Samuel P. C., Cavallaro, Massimo, Cumming, Fergus, Turner, Charlie, Florence, Isaac, Blomquist, Paula, Hilton, Joe, Guzman-Rincon, Laura, House, Thomas, Nokes, D. James, Keeling, Matthew James, 2023. The role of vaccination and public awareness in forecasts of Mpox incidence in the United Kingdom. Nature Communications, 14
- Hill, Edward M., Prosser, Naomi S., Brown, Paul E., Ferguson, Eamonn, Green, Martin J., Kaler, Jasmeet, Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J., 2023. Incorporating heterogeneity in farmer disease control behaviour into a livestock disease transmission model. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 219
- Brand, Samuel, Cavallaro, Massimo, Cumming, Fergus, Turner, Charlie, Florence, Isaac, Blomquist, Paula, Hilton, Joe, Guzman-Rincon, Laura, House, Thomas A., Nokes, James, Keeling, Matthew James, 2023. The role of vaccination and public awareness in forecasts of Mpox incidence in the United Kingdom. Nature Communications, 14
- Cavallaro, Massimo, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Todkill, Daniel, Keeling, Matt J., 2023. Spatio-temporal surveillance and early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern : a retrospective analysis. Journal of the Royal Society. Interface, 20 (208)
- Guzmán-Rincón, Laura M., Hill, Edward M., Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J., 2023. Bayesian estimation of real-time epidemic growth rates using Gaussian processes : local dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in England. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, 72 (5), pp. 1413-1434
- 'Leng, Trystan, 'Hill, Edward M., 'Holmes, Alexander, 'Southall, Emma, 'Thompson, Robin N., 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Dyson, Louise, 2022. 'Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools. Nature Communications, 13 (1)
- 'Keeling, Matthew James, 'Dyson, Louise, 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Hill, Edward M., 'Moore, Sam, 2022. 'Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 roadmap projections against public health data in England. Nature Communications, 13
- 'Leng, Trystan, 'Hill, Edward M., 'Thompson, Robin N., 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Dyson, Louise, 2022. 'Assessing the impact of lateral flow testing strategies on within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and absences : a modelling study. PLOS Computational Biology, 18 (5)
- 'Leng, Trystan, 'Hill, Edward M., 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Thompson, Robin N., 2022. 'The effect of notification window length on the epidemiological impact of COVID-19 contact tracing mobile applications. Communications Medicine, 2
- 'Hill, Edward M., 'Prosser, Naomi S., 'Ferguson, Eamonn, 'Kaler, Jasmeet, 'Green, Martin J., 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Tildesley, Michael J., 2022. 'Modelling livestock infectious disease control policy under differing social perspectives on vaccination behaviour. PLOS Computational Biology, 18 (7)
- 'Antillon, Marina, 'Huang, Ching-I, 'Crump, Ronald E., 'Brown, Paul E., 'Snijders, Rian, 'Mwamba Miaka, Erick, 'Keeling, Matthew James, 'Rock, Kat S., 'Tediosi, Fabrizio, 2022. 'Cost-effectiveness of sleeping sickness elimination campaigns in five settings of the Democratic Republic of Congo. Nature Communications, 13
- 'Prosser, Naomi S., 'Hill, Edward M., 'Armstrong, Derek, 'Gow, Lorna, 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Kaler, Jasmeet, 'Ferguson, Eamonn, 'Green, Martin J., 2022. 'Descriptive analysis of national bovine viral diarrhoea test data in England. Veterinary Record
- 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Vassall, Anna, 'Riley, Steven, 'Jit, Mark, 'Sandmann, Frank, 'Hill, Edward M., 'Thompson, Robin N., 'Atkins, Benjamin D., 'Edmunds, John, 'Dyson, Louise, 'Keeling, Matt J., 2022. 'Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England : a mathematical modelling study. Royal Society Open Science, 9 (8)
- 'Huang, Ching-I, 'Crump, Ronald E., 'Brown, Paul E., 'Spencer, Simon E. F., 'Mwamba Miaka, Erick, 'Shampa, Chansy, 'Keeling, Matthew James, 'Rock, Kat S., 2022. 'Identifying regions for enhanced control of gambiense sleeping sickness in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Nature Communications, 13 (1)
- 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Moore, Sam E., 2022. 'An assessment of the vaccination of school-aged children in England against SARS-CoV-2. BMC Medicine, 20 (1)
- 'Orangi, Stacey, 'Ojal, John, 'Brand, Samuel P. C., 'Orlendo, Cameline, 'Kairu, Angela, 'Aziza, Rabia, 'Ogero, Morris, 'Agweyu, Ambrose, 'Warimwe, George M., 'Uyoga, Sophie, 'Otieno, Edward, 'Ochola-Oyier, Lynette I., 'Agoti, Charles N., 'Kasera, Kadondi, 'Amoth, Patrick, 'Mwangangi, Mercy, 'Aman, Rashid, 'Ng'ang'a, Wangari, 'Adetifa, Ifedayo M. O., 'Scott, J. Anthony G. et al (Select to open full list), 2022. 'Epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness analysis of COVID-19 vaccination in Kenya. BMJ Global Health, 7 (8)
- 'Hilton, Joe, 'Riley, Heather, 'Pellis, Lorenzo, 'Aziza, Rabia, 'Brand, Samuel P. C., 'Kombe, Ivy K., 'Ojal, John, 'Parisi, Andrea, 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Nokes, D. James, 'Manson-Sawko, Robert, 'House, Thomas, 2022. 'A computational framework for modelling infectious disease policy based on age and household structure with applications to the COVID-19 pandemic. PLoS Computational Biology, 18 (9)
- 'Keeling, Matt J., 'Dyson, Louise, 'Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, 'Holmes, Alexander, 'Semple, Malcolm G., 'Tildesley, Michael J., 'Hill, Edward M., 2022. 'Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 31 (9), pp. 1716-1737
- Cavallaro, Massimo, Coelho, Juliana, Ready, Derren, Decraene, Valerie, Lamagni, Theresa, McCarthy, Noel D., Todkill, Daniel, Keeling, Matt J., 2022. Cluster detection with random neighbourhood covering : application to invasive Group A Streptococcal disease. PLoS Computational Biology, 18 (11)
- Prosser, N. S., Green, M. J., Ferguson, E., Tildesley, Michael J., Hill, Edward M., Keeling, Matthew James, Kaler, J., 2022. Cattle farmer psychosocial profiles and their association with control strategies for bovine viral diarrhea. Journal of Dairy Science, 105 (4), pp. 3559-3573
- Prosser, Naomi S., Hill, Edward M., Armstrong, Derek, Gow, Lorna, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Kaler, Jasmeet, Ferguson, Eamonn, Green, Martin J., 2022. Descriptive analysis of national bovine viral diarrhoea test data in England (2016?2020). Veterinary Record, 191 (5)
- Aliee, Maryam, Keeling, Matt J., Rock, Kat S., 2021. Modelling to explore the potential impact of asymptomatic human infections on transmission and dynamics of African sleeping sickness. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (9)
- Keeling, Matthew James, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Hill, Edward M., Medley, Graham F., 2021. Precautionary breaks : planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease. Epidemics, 37
- Tennant, Warren, Cardinale, Eric, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine, Moutroifi, Youssouf, Le Godais, Gilles, Colombi, Davide, Spencer, Simon E. F., Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J., Charafouddine, Onzade, Colizza, Vittoria, Edmunds, W. John, Métras, Raphaëlle, 2021. Modelling the persistence and control of Rift Valley fever virus in a spatially heterogeneous landscape. Nature Communications, 12 (1)
- Hill, Edward M., Keeling, Matt J., 2021. Comparison between one and two dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccine prioritization for a fixed number of vaccine doses. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 18 (182)
- Davis, Christopher N., Keeling, Matthew James, Rock, Kat S., 2021. Modelling gambiense human African trypanosomiasis infection in villages of the Democratic Republic of Congo using Kolmogorov forward equations. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 18 (183)
- Leng, Trystan, White, Connor, Hilton, Joe, Kucharski, Adam, Pellis, Lorenzo, Stage, Helena, Davies, Nicholas G., Keeling, Matt J., Flasche, Stefan, 2021. The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. Wellcome Open Research, 5
- Monaghan, Emma M., Prosser, Naomi S., Witt, Jessica D., Lewis, Katharine E., Nabb, Elizabeth, Keeling, Matt J., Purdy, Kevin J., Green, Laura E., 2021. Impact of strain variation of Dichelobacter nodosus on disease severity and presence in sheep flocks in England. Frontiers In Veterinary Science, 8
- Parisi, Andrea, Brand, Samuel, Hilton, Joe, Aziza, Rabia, Keeling, Matt J., Nokes, D. James, 2021. Spatially resolved simulations of the spread of COVID-19 in three European countries. PLOS Computational Biology, 17 (7)
- Brand, Samuel, Ojal, John, Aziza, Rabia, Were, Vincent, Okiro, Emelda A., Kombe, Ivy K, Mburu, Caroline, Ogero, Morris, Agweyu, Ambrose, Warimwe, George M., Nyagwange, James, Karanja, Henry, Gitonga, John N., Mugo, Daisy, Uyoga, Sophie, Adetifa, Ifedayo M. O., Scott, J. Anthony G., Otieno, Edward, Murunga, Nickson, Otiende, Mark et al (Select to open full list), 2021. COVID-19 transmission dynamics underlying epidemic waves in Kenya. Science, 374 (6570), pp. 989-994
- Dyson, Louise, Hill, Edward M., Moore, Sam, Curran-Sebastian, Jacob, Tildesley, Michael J., Lythgoe, Katrina A., House, Thomas, Pellis, Lorenzo, Keeling, Matthew James, 2021. Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics. Nature Communications
- Mateen, Bilal A., Wilde, Harrison, Dennis, John M, Duncan, Andrew, Thomas, Nick, McGovern, Andrew, Denaxas, Spiros, Keeling, Matthew James, Vollmer, Sebastian, 2021. Hospital bed capacity and usage across secondary healthcare providers in England during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic : a descriptive analysis. BMJ Open, 11 (1)
- Crump, Ronald E., Huang, Ching-I, Knock, Edward, Spencer, Simon E. F., Brown, Paul E., Mwamba Miaka, Erick, Shampa, Chansy, Keeling, Matthew James, Rock, Kat S., 2021. Quantifying epidemiological drivers of gambiense human African Trypanosomiasis across the Democratic Republic of Congo. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (1)
- Davis, Christopher N., Rock, Kat S., Antillon, Marina, Miaka, Erick Mwamba, Keeling, Matthew James, 2021. Cost-effectiveness modelling to optimise active screening strategy for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in endemic areas of the Democratic Republic of Congo. BMC Medicine, 19
- Retkute, Renata, Dilger, Erin, Hamilton, James G. C., Keeling, Matthew James, Courtenay, Orin, 2021. Modelling sand fly Lutzomyia longipalpis attraction to host odour : a synthetic sex-aggregation pheromone dominates the response. Microorganisms, 9 (3)
- Hill, Edward M., Atkins, Benjamin D., Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J., Dyson, Louise, 2021. Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting. Epidemics, 36
- Cavallaro, Massimo, Moiz, Haseeb, Keeling, Matt J., McCarthy, Noel D., 2021. Contrasting factors associated with COVID-19-related ICU admission and death outcomes in hospitalised patients by means of Shapley values. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (6)
- Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Read, Jonathan M., House, Thomas A., Medley, Graham F., Keeling, Matt J., Danon, Leon, 2021. The population attributable fraction of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376 (1829)
- Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J., Atkins, Benjamin D., Penman, Bridget S., Southall, Emma, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, McKimm, Hector, Gorsich, Erin E., Hill, Edward M., Dyson, Louise, 2021. The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376 (1829)
- Danon, Leon, Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Bailey, Mick, Keeling, Matthew James, 2021. A spatial model of COVID-19 transmission in England and Wales : early spread, peak timing and the impact of seasonality. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376 (1829)
- Davis, Christopher N., Castano, Maria Soledad, Aliee, Maryam, Patel, Swati, Miaka, Erick Mwamba, Keeling, Matthew James, Spencer, Simon E. F., Chitnis, Nakul, Rock, Kat S., 2021. Modelling to quantify the likelihood that local elimination of transmission has occurred using routine gambiense human African trypanosomiasis surveillance data. Clinical Infectious Diseases
- Moore, Sam, Hill, Edward M., Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J., 2021. Modelling optimal vaccination strategy for SARS-CoV-2 in the UK. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (5)
- Moore, Sam, Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J., Dyson, Louise, Keeling, Matt J., 2021. Vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 : a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infectious Diseases, 21 (6), pp. 793-802
- Aliee, Maryam, Castaño, Soledad, Davis, Christopher N., Patel, Swati, Miaka, Erick Mwamba, Spencer, Simon E. F., Keeling, Matt J., Chitnis, Nakul, Rock, Kat S., 2021. Predicting the impact of COVID-19 interruptions on transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in two health zones of the Democratic Republic of Congo. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 115 (3), pp. 245-252
- Keeling, Matt J., Hill, Edward M., Gorsich, Erin E., Penman, Bridget S., Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, Leng, Trystan, McKimm, Hector, Tamborrino, Massimiliano, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., 2021. Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK : short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (1)
- Hill, Edward M., Atkins, Benjamin D., Keeling, Matt J., Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., 2021. A network modelling approach to assess non-pharmaceutical disease controls in a worker population : an application to SARS-CoV-2. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (6)
- Southall, Emma, Holmes, Alexander, Hill, Edward M., Atkins, Benjamin D., Leng, Trystan, Thompson, Robin N., Dyson, Louise, Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., 2021. An analysis of school absences in England during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMC Medicine, 19 (1)
- Möhlmann, Tim W. R., Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno, Favia, Guido, Santman-Berends, Inge, Takken, Willem, Koenraadt, Constantianus J. M., Brand, Samuel, 2021. Biting midge dynamics and bluetongue transmission : a multiscale model linking catch data with climate and disease outbreaks. Scientific Reports, 11 (1)
- Staniszewska, Sophie, Hill, Edward M., Grant, Richard, Grove, Peter, Porter, Jarina, Shiri, Tinevimbo, Tulip, Sue, Whitehurst, Jane, Wright, Claire, Datta, Samik, Petrou, Stavros, Keeling, Matthew James, 2021. Developing a framework for public involvement in mathematical and economic modelling : bringing new dynamism to vaccination policy recommendations. The Patient - Patient-Centered Outcomes Research, 14, pp. 435-445
- Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Read, Jonathan M., McLean, Angela R., Keeling, Matt J., Danon, Leon, 2021. Mapping social distancing measures to the reproduction number for COVID-19. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376 (1829)
- Aliee, Maryam, Rock, Kat S., Keeling, Matthew James, 2020. Estimating the distribution of time to extinction of infectious diseases in mean-field approaches. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 17 (173)
- Hilton, Joe, Keeling, Matt J., 2020. Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (7)
- Keeling, Matthew James, Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Read, Jonathan M., 2020. The efficacy of contact tracing for the containment of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19). Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 74, pp. 861-866
- White, Connor, Pellis, Lorenzo, Keeling, Matthew James, Penman, Bridget S., 2020. Detecting HLA-infectious disease associations for multi-strain pathogens. Infection, Genetics and Evolution, 83
- Kura, Klodeta, Collyer, Benjamin, Toor, Jaspreet, Truscott, James E., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Keeling, Matthew James, Anderson, Roy M., 2020. Policy implications of the potential use of a novel vaccine to prevent infection with Schistosoma mansoni with or without mass drug administration. Vaccine, 38 (28), pp. 4379-4386
- Davis, Christopher, Rock, Kat S., Keeling, Matthew James, 2020. Human African trypanosomiasis : current status and eradication efforts. CAB Reviews, 15 (28)
- Brand, Samuel, Munywoki, Patrick, Walumbe, David, Keeling, Matthew James, Nokes, D. James, 2020. Reducing respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalization in a lower-income country by vaccinating mothers-to-be and their households. eLife, 9
- Hill, Edward M., Petrou, Stavros, Forster, Henry, de Lusignan, Simon, Yonova, Ivelina, Keeling, Matt J., 2020. Optimising age coverage of seasonal influenza vaccination in England : a mathematical and health economic evaluation. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (10)
- Castaño, Soledad, Aliee, Maryam, Miaka, Erick Mwamba, Keeling, Matthew James, Chitnis, Nakul, Rock, Kat S., 2020. Screening strategies for a sustainable endpoint for Gambiense sleeping sickness. Journal of Infectious Diseases, 221 (5), pp. S539-S545
- Tennant, Warren, Tildesley, Michael J., Spencer, Simon E. F., Keeling, Matthew James, 2020. Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898?1949. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 287 (1928)
- Leng, Trystan, Keeling, Matthew James, 2020. Improving pairwise approximations for network models with susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 500
- Thompson, Robin N., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Isham, Valerie, Arribas-Bel, Daniel, Ashby, Ben, Britton, Tom, Challenor, Peter, Chappell, Lauren H. K., Clapham, Hannah, Cunniffe, Nik J., Dawid, A. Philip, Donnelly, Christl A., Eggo, Rosalind M., Funk, Sebastian, Gilbert, Nigel, Glendinning, Paul, Gog, Julia R., Hart, William S., Heesterbeek, Hans, House, Thomas A. et al (Select to open full list), 2020. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 287 (1932)
- Castano, Maria Soledad, Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., Rock, Kat S., Palmer, Cody, Knock, Edward, Mwamba Miaka, Mwamba Miaka, Ndung'u, Joseph M., Torr, Steve, Verle, Paul, Spencer, Simon E. F., Galvani, Alison P., Bever, Caitlin, Keeling, Matthew James, 2020. Assessing the impact of aggregating disease stage data in model predictions of human African trypanosomiasis transmission and control activities in Bandundu province (DRC). PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 14 (1)
- Hilton, Joe, Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. Incorporating household structure and demography into models of endemic disease. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 16 (157)
- Rock, Kat S., Crump, Ronald E., Davis, Christopher, Soledad Castaño, María, Antillon, Marina, Huang, Ching-I, Aliee, Maryam, Tediosi, Fabrizio, Chitnis, Nakul, Keeling, Matt J., 2019. Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed 2030 goal for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT). Gates Open Research, 3
- Data, Samik, Pink, Joshua, Medley, Graham, Petrou, Stavros, Staniszewska, Sophie, Underwood, Martin, Sonnenberg, Pam, Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. Assessing the cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination strategies for adolescent girls and boys in the UK. BMC Infectious Diseases, 19
- Hill, Edward M., Petrou, Stavros, de Lusignan, Simon, Yonova, Ivelina, Keeling, Matt J., 2019. Seasonal influenza : modelling approaches to capture immunity propagation. PLoS Computational Biology, 15 (10)
- Collyer, Benjamin S., Turner, Hugo C., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. Vaccination or mass drug administration against schistosomiasis : a hypothetical cost-effectiveness modelling comparison. Parasites & Vectors, 12 (1)
- Tildesley, Michael J., Brand, Samuel, Brooks Pollock, E., Bradbury, Naomi, Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. The role of movement restrictions in limiting the economic impact of livestock infections. Nature Sustainability, 2, pp. 834-840
- Meakin, Sophie R., Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. Correlations between stochastic endemic infection in multiple interacting subpopulations. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 483
- Davis, Christopher N., Rock, Kat S., Mwamba Miaka, Erick, Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. Village-scale persistence and elimination of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 13 (10)
- Meakin, Sophie R., Keeling, Matthew James, 2019. Correlations between stochastic epidemics in two interacting populations. Epidemics, 26, pp. 58-67
- Datta, Samik, Mercer, Catherine H., Keeling, Matthew James, 2018. Capturing sexual contact patterns in modelling the spread of sexually transmitted infections : evidence using Natsal-3. PLoS One, 13 (11)
- Koelle, Katia, Probert, William J. M., Jewell, Chris P., Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C., Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J., Tildesley, Michael J., 2018. Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (7)
- Sellman, Stefan, Tsao, Kimberly, Tildesley, Michael J., Brommesson, Peter, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Keeling, Matthew James, Lindström, Tom, 2018. Need for speed : an optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (4)
- Meadows, Amanda J., Mundt, Christopher C., Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., 2018. Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics. Ecosphere, 9 (7)
- Retkute, Renata, Jewell, Chris P., Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Zhang, Geli, Xiao, Xiangming, Thanapongtharme, Weerapong, Keeling, Matthew James, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J., 2018. Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand : the role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 159, pp. 171-181
- Leng, Trystan, Keeling, Matthew James, 2018. Concurrency of partnerships, consistency with data, and control of sexually transmitted infections. Epidemics, 25, pp. 35-46
- Irvine, Michael Alastair, Bull, James C., Keeling, Matthew James, 2018. Conservation of pattern as a tool for inference on spatial snapshots in ecological data. Scientific Reports, 8
- Rock, Kat S., Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., Castaño, Soledad, Palmer, Cody, Pandey, Abhishek, Atkins, Katherine E., Ndung?u, Joseph M., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Galvani, Alison, Bever, Caitlin, Chitnis, Nakul, Keeling, Matthew James, 2018. Assessing strategies against gambiense sleeping sickness through mathematical modelling. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 66 (Supplement 4), pp. S286-S292
- Franklin, Daniel, Brown, Mike A., Datta, Samik, Cuthbertson, Andrew G. S., Budge, Giles E., Keeling, Matthew James, 2017. Invasion dynamics of Asian hornet, Vespa velutina (Hymenoptera: Vespidae) : a case study of a commune in south-west France. Applied Entomology and Zoology, March 2017, pp. 1-9
- Shiri, Tinevimbo, Datta, Samik, Madan, Jason, Tsertsvadze, Alexander, Royle, Pamela, Keeling, Matthew James, McCarthy, Noel D., Petrou, Stavros, 2017. Indirect effects of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Global Health, 5 (1), pp. E51-E59
- Keeling, Matthew James, Broadfoot, Katherine, Datta, Samik, 2017. The impact of current infection levels on the cost-benefit of vaccination. Epidemics, 21, pp. 56-62
- Brand, Samuel, Keeling, Matthew James, 2017. The impact of temperature changes on vector-borne disease transmission : Culicoides midges and Bluetongue virus. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 14 (128)
- Métras, Raphaëlle, Fournié, Guillaume, Dommergues, Laure, Camacho, Anton, Cavalerie, Lisa, Mérot, Philippe, Keeling, Matthew James, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine, Cardinale, Eric, Edmunds, W. John, 2017. Drivers for Rift Valley fever emergence in Mayotte : a Bayesian modelling approach. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11 (7)
- Rock, Kat S., Pandey, A., Ndeffo-Mbah, M. L., Atkins, K. E., Lumbala, C., Galvani, A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2017. Data-driven models to predict the elimination of sleeping sickness in former Equateur province of DRC. Epidemics, 18, pp. 101-112
- Keeling, Matthew James, Datta, Samik, Franklin, Daniel, Flatman, Ivor, Wattam, Andy, Brown, Mike, Budge, Giles E., 2017. Efficient use of sentinel sites : detection of invasive honeybee pests and diseases in the UK. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 14 (129)
- Métras, Raphaëlle, Dommergues, Laure, Ortiz, Katia, Pannequin, Marion, Schuler, Christian, Roux, Patrick, Edmunds, John W., Keeling, Matthew James, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine, Cardinale, Eric, 2017. Absence of evidence of Rift Valley fever infection in Eulemur fulvus (Brown Lemur) in Mayotte during an interepidemic period. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases, 17 (5), pp. 358-360
- Rock, Kat S., Torr, Steven J., Lumbala, Crispin, Keeling, Matthew James, 2017. Predicting the impact of intervention strategies for sleeping sickness in two high-endemicity health zones of the Democratic Republic of Congo. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11 (1)
- Keeling, Matthew James, Franklin, Daniel, Datta, Samik, Brown, Michael A., Budge, Giles E., 2017. Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain. Scientific Reports, 7
- Bradbury, Naomi V., Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J., Tildesley, Michael J., 2017. Quantifying the value of perfect information in emergency vaccination campaigns. PLoS Computational Biology, 13 (2)
- Atia, Jolene, Monaghan, E. M. (Emma M.), Kaler, Jasmeet, Purdy, Kevin J., Green, Laura E., Keeling, Matthew James, 2017. Mathematical modeling of ovine footrot in the UK : the effect ofDichelobacter nodosus and Fusobacterium necrophorum on thedisease dynamics. Epidemics, 21, pp. 13-20
- Irvine, Michael Alastair, Bull, James C. (James Christopher), Keeling, Matthew James, 2016. Disease transmission promotes evolution of host spatial patterns. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 13 (122)
- Brand, Samuel, Rock, Kat S., Keeling, Matthew James, 2016. The interaction between vector life history and short vector life in vector-borne disease transmission and control. PLoS Computational Biology, 12 (4)
- Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Keeling, Matthew James, 2016. Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics, 17, pp. 35-41
- Irvine, Michael Alastair, Jackson, E. L., Kenyon, Emma J., Cook, Kevan J., Keeling, Matthew James, Bull, J. C., 2016. Fractal measures of spatial pattern as a heuristic for return rate in vegetative systems. Royal Society Open Science, 3 (3), pp. 1-11
- Métras, Raphaëlle, Cavalerie, Lisa, Dommergues, Laure, Mérot, Philippe, Edmunds, W. John, Keeling, Matthew James, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine, Cardinale, Eric, 2016. The epidemiology of rift valley fever in Mayotte : insights and perspectives from 11 years of data. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 10 (6), pp. 1-12
- Keeling, Matthew James, House, Thomas A., Cooper, A. J., Pellis, Lorenzo, 2016. Systematic approximations to susceptible-infectious-susceptible dynamics on networks. PLoS Computational Biology, 12 (12)
- Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Jong, M. C. M. de, Keeling, Matthew James, Klinkenberg, Don, Wood, James L. N., 2015. Eight challenges in modelling infectious livestock diseases. Epidemics, 10
- Pellis, Lorenzo, House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2015. Exact and approximate moment closures for non-Markovian network epidemics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 382 (7), pp. 160-177
- Rock, Kat S., Torr, Steve J., Lumbala, Crispin, Keeling, Matthew James, 2015. Quantitative evaluation of the strategy to eliminate human African trypanosomiasis in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Parasites & Vectors, 8 (1)
- Keeling, Matthew James, Ross, Joshua V., 2015. Optimal prophylactic vaccination in segregated populations : when can we improve on the equalising strategy?. Epidemics, 11, pp. 7-13
- Geard, Nicholas, Glass, Kathryn, McCaw, James M., McBryde, Emma S., Korb, Kevin B., Keeling, Matthew James, McVernon, Jodie, 2015. The effects of demographic change on disease transmission and vaccine impact in a household structured population. Epidemics, 13, pp. 56-64
- Brand, Samuel, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, 2015. Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics : a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 370, pp. 121-134
- Rock, Kat S., Wood, David A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2015. Age- and bite-structured models for vector-borne diseases. Epidemics, 12, pp. 20-29
- Irvine, Michael Alastair, Bull, J. C., Keeling, Matthew James, 2015. Aggregation dynamics explain vegetation patch-size distributions. Theoretical Population Biology, 108, pp. 70-74
- Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Adams, Emily R., Anderson, Roy M., Atkins, Katherine, Bartsch, Sarah, Basáñez, María-Gloria, Behrend, Matthew, Blok, David J., Chapman, Lloyd A. C., Coffeng, Luc, Courtenay, Orin, Crump, Ron E., Vlas, Sake J. de, Dobson, Andy, Dyson, Louise, Farkas, Hajnal, Galvani, Alison P., Gambhir, Manoj, Gurarie, David, Irvine, Michael Alastair et al (Select to open full list), 2015. Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases. Parasites & Vectors, 8 (1)
- Buhnerkempe, Michael G., Tildesley, Michael J., Lindström, Tom, Grear, Daniel A., Portacci, Katie, Miller, Ryan S., Lombard, Jason E., Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno, Webb, Colleen T., 2014. The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. PLoS One, 9 (3)
- Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Roberts, Gareth O., Keeling, Matthew James, 2014. A dynamic model of bovine tuberculosis spread and control in Great Britain. Nature, 511 (7508), pp. 228-231
- Rock, Kat S., Brand, Samuel, Moir, Jo, Keeling, Matthew James, 2014. Dynamics of infectious diseases. Reports on Progress in Physics, 77 (2)
- Black, Andrew J., House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, Ross, Joshua V., 2014. The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 359, pp. 45-53
- Hancock, Penelope A., Rehman, Yasmin, Hall, Ian M., Edeghere, Obaghe, Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2014. Strategies for controlling non-transmissible infection outbreaks using a large human movement data set. PLoS Computational Biology, 10 (9), pp. 1-8
- Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James, Boots, Mike, 2013. The role of spatial population structure on the evolution of parasites with acquired immunity and demography. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 324, pp. 21-31
- Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James, Boots, Mike, 2013. A theoretical study of the role of spatial population structure in the evolution of parasite virulence. Theoretical Population Biology, 84, pp. 36-45
- Datta, Samik, Bull, James C., Budge, Giles E., Keeling, Matthew James, 2013. Modelling the spread of American foulbrood in honeybees. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 10 (88)
- Danon, Leon, Read, Jonathan M., House, Thomas A., Vernon, Matthew C., Keeling, Matthew James, 2013. Social encounter networks : characterizing Great Britain. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 280 (1765), pp. 20131037-20131037
- Black, Andrew J., House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, Ross, Joshua V., 2013. Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza. Journal of Royal Society. Interface, 10 (81)
- Vernon, Matthew C., Keeling, Matthew James, 2012. Impact of regulatory perturbations to disease spread through cattle movements in Great Britain. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.105 (No.1-2), pp. 110-117
- Keeling, Matthew James, Shattock, Andrew, 2012. Optimal but unequitable prophylactic distribution of vaccine. Epidemics, Vol.4 (No.2), pp. 78-85
- Sutherland, William J., Freckleton, Robert P., Godfray, H. C. J., Beissinger, Steven R., Benton, T. G., Cameron, Duncan D., Carmel, Yohay, Coomes, D. A., Coulson, Tim, Emmerson, Mark C., Hails, Rosemary, Hays, Graeme C., Hodgson, David J., Hutchings, M. J., Johnson, David, Jones, Julia, Keeling, Matthew James, Kokko, Hanna, Kunin, William E., Lambin, X. et al (Select to open full list), 2012. Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions. Journal of Ecology, 101 (1), pp. 58-67
- Rock, Kat S., Keeling, Matthew James, Wood, David A., 2012. Modelling the future of the Hawaiian honeycreeper : an ecological and epidemiological problem. Ecological Modelling, 235-236, pp. 26-35
- Tildesley, Michael J., Smith, Gary, Keeling, Matthew James, 2012. Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.104 (No.3-4), pp. 224-239
- House, Thomas A., Inglis, Nadia, Ross, Joshua V., Wilson, Fay, Suleman, Shakeel, Edeghere, Obaghe, Smith, Gillian, Olowokure, Babatunde, Keeling, Matthew James, 2012. Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility : influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households. BMC Medicine, Vol.10 (No.1)
- Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A., Read, Jonathan M., Keeling, Matthew James, 2012. Social encounter networks : collective properties and disease transmission. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.9 (No.76), pp. 2826-2833
- Keeling, Matthew James, White, Peter, 2011. Targeting vaccination against novel infections : risk, age and spatial structure for pandemic influenza in Great Britain. Journal of the Royal Society - Interface, Vol.8 (No.58), pp. 661-670
- House, Thomas A., Baguelin, Marc, Hoek, Albert Jan Van, White, Peter J., Sadique, Zia, Eames, Ken T. D., Read, Jonathan M., Hens, Niel, Melegaro, Alessia, Edmunds, W. John, Keeling, Matthew James, 2011. Modelling the impact of local reactive school closures on critical care provision during an influenza pandemic. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol.278 (No.1719), pp. 2753-2760
- Travis, Emma Rachel, Gaze, William H., Pontiroli, Alessandra, Sweeney, Francis P., Porter, David, Mason, Sam, Keeling, Matthew James, Jones, Rebecca M., Sawyer, Jason, Aranaz, Alicia, Castellanos Rizaldos, Elena, Cork, Jennifer, Delahay, Richard J., Wilson, Gavin J., Hewinson, R. Glyn, Courtenay, Orin, Wellington, E. M. H., 2011. An inter-laboratory validation of a real time PCR assay to measure host excretion of bacterial pathogens, particularly of mycobacterium bovis. PLoS One, Vol.6 (No.11)
- Carslake, David, Grant, Wyn, Green, Laura E., Cave, Jonathan A. K., Greaves, Justin, Keeling, Matthew James, McEldowney, John F., Weldegebriel, Habtu Tadesse, Medley, Graham, 2011. Endemic cattle diseases : comparative epidemiology and governance. Royal Society of London. Philosophical Transactions B. Biological Sciences, Vol.366 (No.1573), pp. 1975-1986
- Lurette, Amandine, Belloc, Catherine, Keeling, Matthew James, 2011. Contact structure and Salmonella control in the network of pig movements in France. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.102 (No.1), pp. 30-40
- Danon, Leon, Ford, Ashley P., House, Thomas A., Jewell, Chris P., Keeling, Matthew James, Roberts, Gareth O., Ross, Joshua V., Vernon, Matthew C., 2011. Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, Vol.2011
- House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2011. Epidemic prediction and control in clustered populations. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.272 (No.1), pp. 1-7
- House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2011. Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks. Journal of the Royal Society. Interface, Vol.8 (No.54), pp. 67-73
- Rorres, Chris, Pelletier, Sky T. K., Keeling, Matthew James, Smith, Gary, 2010. Estimating the kernel parameters of premises-based stochastic models of farmed animal infectious disease epidemics using limited, incomplete, or ongoing data. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.78 (No.1), pp. 46-53
- Ross, Joshua V., House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2010. Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households. PLoS One, Vol.5 (No.3)
- Keeling, Matthew James, Danon, Leon, Vernon, Matthew C., House, Thomas A., 2010. Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations. National Academy of Sciences. Proceedings, Vol.107 (No.19), pp. 8866-8870
- Carslake, David, Cave, Jonathan A. K., Grant, Wyn, Greaves, Justin, Green, Laura E., Keeling, Matthew James, McEldowney, John F., Medley, Graham, Weldegebriel, Habtu Tadesse, 2010. Animal health and welfare : a case study of science, law and policy in a regulatory environment. Law, Society and Policy, Vol.3, pp. 227-255
- Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A., Bruhn, Mark C., Curry, Ross J., O'Neil, Maggie, Allpress, Justine L. E., Smith, Gary, Keeling, Matthew James, 2010. Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol.107 (No.3), pp. 1041-1046
- Conlan, Andrew J. K., Rohani, Pejman, Lloyd, Alun L., Keeling, Matthew James, Grenfell, Bryan T., 2010. Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.7 (No.45), pp. 623-640
- House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2010. The impact of contact tracing in clustered populations. PLoS Computational Biology, Vol.6 (No.3)
- Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen. P., Grenfell, Bryan T., Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., 2010. Inference for individual-level models of infectious diseases in large populations. Statistica Sinica, Vol.20 (No.1), pp. 239-261
- House, Thomas A., Hall, Ian, Danon, Leon, Keeling, Matthew James, 2010. Contingency planning for a deliberate release of smallpox in Great Britain : the role of geographical scale and contact structure. BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol.10
- Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. The role of routine versus random movements on the spread of disease in Great Britain. Epidemics, Vol.1 (No.4), pp. 250-258
- Vernon, Matthew C., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Representing the UK's cattle herd as static and dynamic networks. Royal Society of London. Proceedings B. Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1656), pp. 469-476
- House, Thomas A., Davies, G. (Geoffrey), Danon, Leon, Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. A motif-based approach to network epidemics. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, Vol.71 (No.7), pp. 1693-1706
- Keeling, Matthew James, Danon, Leon, 2009. Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases. British Medical Bulletin, Vol.92 (No.1), pp. 33-42
- Jewell, Chris P., Keeling, Matthew James, Roberts, Gareth O., 2009. Predicting undetected infections during the 2007 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, Vol.6 (No.41), pp. 1145-1151
- Keeling, Matthew James, Ross, Joshua V., 2009. Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.75 (No.2-3), pp. 133-141
- Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Herd size and bovine tuberculosis persistence in cattle farms in Great Britain. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.92 (No.4), pp. 360-365
- House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Household structure and infectious disease transmission. Epidemiology and Infection, Vol.137 (No.5), pp. 654-661
- Heffernan, J. M., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Implications of vaccination and waning immunity. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1664), pp. 2071-2080
- Tildesley, Michael J., Bessell, Paul R., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., 2009. The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease. Royal Society of London. Proceedings B. Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1671), pp. 3239-3248
- Dangerfield, C. E., Ross, Joshua V., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.6 (No.38), pp. 761-774
- Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Is R0 a good predictor of final epidemic size : foot-and-mouth disease in the UK. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.258 (No.4), pp. 623-629
- House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James, 2008. Deterministic epidemic models with explicit household structure. Mathematical Biosciences, Vol.213 (No.1), pp. 29-39
- Marchetti, F. M., Szymanska, M. H. (Marzena H.), Keeling, Matthew James, Kasprzak, J., Andre, R., Littlewood, Peter B., Dang, Le Si, 2008. Phase diagram for condensation of microcavity polaritons: From theory to practice. Physical Review B (Condensed Matter and Materials Physics), Vol.77 (No.23)
- Tildesley, Michael J., Deardon, Rob, Savill, Nicholas J., Bessell, Paul R., Brooks, Stephen P., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Grenfell, Bryan T., Keeling, Matthew James, 2008. Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. Biological Sciences, Vol.275 (No.1641), pp. 1459-1468
- Heffernan, J. M., Keeling, Matthew James, 2008. An in-host model of acute infection : measles as a case study. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.73 (No.1), pp. 134-147
- Keeling, Matthew James, Ross, Joshua V., 2008. On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 5 (19), pp. 171-181
- Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, 2008. Modelling foot-and-mouth disease : a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.85 (No.1-2), pp. 107-124
- Price, Andrew R. G., Keeling, Matthew James, Stewart, Ian, 2007. A robustness metric integrating spatial and temporal information : application to coral reefs exposed to local and regional disturbances. Marine Ecology - Progress Series, 331, pp. 101-108
- Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James, Boots, Mike, 2007. Spatially extended host-parasite interactions: the role of recovery and immunity. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.71 (No.2), pp. 251-266
- Woodbine, K. A., Medley, Graham, Slevin, J., Kilbride, A. L. (Amy L.), Novell, E. J., Turner, M. J., Keeling, Matthew James, Green, Laura E., 2007. Spatiotemporal patterns and risks of herd breakdowns in pigs with postweaning multisystemic wasting syndrome. Veterinary Record, Vol.160 (No.22), pp. 751-762
- Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Brooks, Stephen P., Grenfell, Bryan T., 2007. Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.4 (No.13), pp. 235-241
- Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James, Boots, Mike, 2007. Host-parasite interactions between the local and the mean-field: how and when does spatial population structure matter?. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.249 (No.1), pp. 140-152
- Courtenay, Orin, Reilly, L. A., Keeling, Matthew James, Sweeney, F. P., Wellington, E. M. H., Macdonald, David W., Delahay, Richard J., Wilson, G. J., Cheeseman, C. L., 2007. Performance of an environmental test to detect Mycobacterium bovis infection in badger social groups. Veterinary Record, The, Vol.161, pp. 817-818
- Eames, Ken T. D., Keeling, Matthew James, 2006. Coexistence and specialization of pathogen strains on contact networks. American Naturalist, Vol.168 (No.2), pp. 230-241
- Savill, Nicholas J., St Rose, Suzanne G., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., 2006. Silent spread of H5N1 in vaccinated poultry. Nature, 442 (7104), pp. 757-757
- Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Brooks, Stephan P., Grenfell, Bryan T., 2006. Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. BMC Veterinary Research, Vol.2 (No.3)
- Read, Jonathan M., Keeling, Matthew James, 2006. Disease evolution across a range of spatio-temporal scales. Theoretical Population Biology, 70 (2), pp. 201-213
- Wearing, Helen J., Rohani, Pejman, Keeling, Matthew James, 2005. Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases. PLOS Medicine, Vol.2 (No.7), pp. 621-627
- Rock, Kat S., Stone, Chris M., Hastings, Ian M., Keeling, Matthew James, Torr, Stephen J., Chitnis, Nakul, 2015. Mathematical models of human African trypanosomiasis epidemiology. In Mathematical Models for Neglected Tropical Diseases: Essential Tools for Control and Elimination, Part A, Academic Press, pp. 53-133
- Keeling, Matthew James, Rohani, Pejman, 2008. Modeling infectious diseases in humans and animals. Princeton, Princeton University Press
- Jewell, Chris P., Brown, J., Keeling, Matthew James, Green, L., Roberts, Gareth O., 2013. Bayesian epidemic risk prediction-knowledge transfer and usability at all levels. Society of Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine Annual Meeting, Madrid, Spain, 20-22 Mar 2013, Published in Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, pp. 127-142
- Keeling, Matthew James, Vernon, Matthew C., 2008. Simulating infectious diseases using network and individual-based models. 28th International Sunbelt Social Network Conference, Florida, USA, 22-27 Jan, 2008, Published in Proceedings of the 28th International Sunbelt Social Network Conference, pp. 97-98
- Keeling, Matthew James, Vernon, Matthew C., Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A., Read, Jonathan M., 2008. Online And Offline Ego-centered Network Data Collection. 31st International Sunbelt Social Network Conference, Florida, USA, 8-13, Feb 2011, Published in Proceedings of the 31st International Sunbelt Social Network Conference
- Cavallaro, Massimo, Moiz, Haseeb, Keeling, Matt J., McCarthy, Noel D., 2021. Contrasting factors associated with COVID-19-related ICU admission and death outcomes in hospitalised patients by means of Shapley values. MedRXiv
- 'MacPherson, Ailene, 'Keeling, Matthew James, 'Otto, Sarah, 2021. 'Data for Coevolution fails to maintain genetic variation in a host-parasite model with constant finite population size. University of Warwick, Mathematics Institute ; University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
- 'MacPherson, Ailene, 'Keeling, Matthew James, 'Otto, Sarah, 2021. 'Data for Feedback between coevolution and epidemiology can help or hinder the maintenance of genetic variation in host-parasite models. University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
- Brand, Samuel, Munywoki, Patrick K., Walumbe, David, Keeling, Matthew James, Nokes, D. James, 2019. Data for Reducing RSV hospitalisation in a lower-income country by vaccinating mothers-to-be and their households. Harvard Dataverse
- Atkins, Katie, Baguelin, Marc, Brand, Samuel, Jit, Mark, Keeling, Matthew James, Kibinge, Nelson, Kinyanjui, Timothy, Medley, Graham, Melegaro, Alessia, Munywoki, Patrick, Nokes, D. James, Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina, Pan-Ngum, Wurichada, Pellis, Lorenzo, White, Lisa, 2017. RSV modelling meeting. School of Life Science and Zeeman Institute SBIDER Centre, University of Warwick, UK and KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme , Kilifi, Kenya
- 'Rock, Kat S., 'Pandey, A., 'Ndeffo-Mbah, M. L., 'Atkins, K. E., 'Lumbala, C., 'Galvani, A., 'Keeling, Matthew James, 2017. 'Data for Data-driven models to predict the elimination of sleeping sickness in former Equateur province of DRC. University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
- Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Tildesley, Michael J., Linard, Catherine, Halloy, José, Keeling, Matthew James, Gilbert, Marius, 2013. The Nosoi commute : a spatial perspective on the rise of BSL-4 laboratories in cities. arXiv
- Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, 2009. Corrigendum to 'Is R-0 a good predictor of final epidemic size: foot-and-mouth disease in the UK': [vol 258, pg 623, 2009]. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Elsevier, pp. 863-863
- Danon, Leon, Read, Jonathan M., Keeling, Matthew James, House, Thomas A., Vernon, Matthew C., 2009. Social contact study. University of Warwick, Dpartment of Biological Sciences
- Read, Jonathan M., Keeling, Matthew James, 2007. Stochasticity generates an evolutionary instability for infectious disease. Ecology Letters, Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd, pp. 818-827
- Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen P., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Grenfell, Bryan T., Keeling, Matthew James, 2007. Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease. Nature, Nature Publishing, pp. E12-E13
- Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Shaw, Duncan, Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen P., Grenfell, Bryan T., 2006. FMD control strategies - Comment. Veterinary Record, B M J Group, pp. 707-708
Title | Funder | Award start | Award end |
---|---|---|---|
JUNIPER consortium, partnership award | MRC | 01 May 2023 | 30 Apr 2028 |
Digital tech development climate sensitive infectious disease | Wellcome Trust | 01 Sep 2023 | 31 Aug 2026 |
Modelling of vaccination for public health: MEMVIE 3 | National Institute for Health Research (NIHR DoH) | 01 Sep 2023 | 31 Aug 2026 |
HPRU in Genomics and Enabling at University of Warwick | National Institute for Health Research (DoH) | 01 Apr 2020 | 31 Mar 2025 |
NIHR HPRU in Gastrointestinal Infections | National Institute for Health Research (DoH) | 01 Apr 2020 | 31 Mar 2025 |
Modelling for the HAT Endgame | Gates Foundation | 19 Nov 2020 | 31 Oct 2024 |
Health Data Research UK | Health Data Research UK | 02 Apr 2018 | 01 Apr 2023 |
COVID Modelling Consortium: quantitative epidemiological predictions in response to an evolving pandemic | UK Research and Innovation | 19 Nov 2020 | 31 Mar 2023 |
Mathematical & Economic Modelling for Vaccination and Immunisation Evaluation, and Emergency Response (MEMVIE Part 2 Full application) | National Institute for Health Research (DoH) | 01 Nov 2019 | 31 Oct 2022 |
NIHR Global Health Research Group on the Application of Genomics and Modelling to the Control of Virus Pathogens (GeMVi) in East Africa at the University of Warwick. Costed ext linked to 56618 | National Institute for Health Research (NIHR DoH) | 01 Apr 2021 | 30 Sep 2022 |
EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Mathematics for Real-World Systems | EPSRC | 01 Apr 2014 | 30 Sep 2022 |
COVID-19 Intervention modelling for East Africa (CIMEA) (linked to 67166) | Wellcome Trust | 27 May 2020 | 26 May 2022 |
Vaccine Efficacy Evaluation for Priority Emerging Diseases | National Institute for Health Research (DoH) | 01 Apr 2018 | 31 Mar 2022 |
Visual Analytics Systems for Explaining and Analysing Contact Tracing Networks?? | EPSRC | 01 Sep 2020 | 28 Feb 2022 |
HAT Modelling and Economic Predictions for Policy (HAT MEPP) | Gates Foundation | 09 Nov 2017 | 31 Oct 2021 |
COVID-19 Rapid Response Call | MRC | 01 Apr 2020 | 30 Sep 2021 |
NTD Modelling Consortium: moving towards elimination (held at Oxford by Deirdre Hollingsworth) | Gates Foundation | 16 Nov 2017 | 31 Aug 2021 |
COVID-19: Mathematical modeling and adaptive control to inform real time decision making for the COVID-19 pandemic. | UK Research and Innovation | 01 May 2020 | 07 Jul 2021 |
NIHR Global Health Research Group on the Application of Genomics and Modelling to the Control of Virus Pathogens (GeMVi) in East Africa | National Institute for Health Research (DoH) | 01 Apr 2018 | 31 Mar 2021 |
Epidemiological consequences of reproductive senescence in a long-lived vector | BBSRC | 01 Apr 2017 | 31 Aug 2020 |
Is multistrain infection by Dichelobacter nodosus important in the severity of footrot and in the management of disease? | BBSRC | 05 Feb 2015 | 03 Sep 2018 |
Infectious Disease Dynamic Modelling in Health Protection | Department of Health | 01 Aug 2013 | 31 Jul 2018 |
MRC AMR Development Grant application - AMREPAK: Novel inter-disciplinary approaches for identifying and tackling the spread of AntiMicrobial Resistance through Environmental pathways in PAKistan | MRC | 01 Oct 2017 | 31 Mar 2018 |
Africa sleeping sickness meeting | Gates Foundation | 02 Mar 2017 | 30 Nov 2017 |
US-UK Collab Linking models and policy: Using active adaptive management for optimal control of disease outbreaks. BBSRC/NSF Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases call | BBSRC | 01 Oct 2012 | 30 Sep 2017 |
Modelling Infection, Household and Demographic Change | EPSRC | 01 Oct 2016 | 31 Dec 2016 |
ANIHWA - LIVEepi; Defra ref: SE0545Recost of Animal Health and Welfare (ANIHWA ERA-Net): Transnational Research Projects | Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs | 01 Oct 2013 | 31 Dec 2016 |
Transmission dynamics and spillover of avian influenza under changing agricultural intensification and landscapes | National Institutes of Health | 23 Jul 2013 | 30 Jun 2016 |
The impact of social mixing on the spread and control of diseases | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2013 | 31 Dec 2015 |
Strategic Evidence partnership fund (via FERA) - Stress testing and optimisation of early interception networks for invasive pests of pollinators | Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs | 01 Apr 2014 | 31 Mar 2015 |
ESRC Data Sharing Research Initiative Phase 1 (lead liverpool) | ESRC | 01 Oct 2012 | 31 Mar 2014 |
SE3284: Bovine Tuberculosis (AHVLA 1100R6a) | Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs | 01 Apr 2012 | 31 Mar 2014 |
Full proposal: Modelling systems for managing bee disease: the epidemiology of European Foul Brood | BBSRC | 01 Nov 2010 | 31 Oct 2013 |
InFER: Likelihood-based Inference for Epidemic Risk | BBSRC | 01 Oct 2009 | 30 Jun 2013 |
InFER: Likelihood-based Inference for Epidemic Risk | BBSRC | 01 Oct 2009 | 30 Jun 2013 |
No cost extension - Implications of Clustering for network based processes | EPSRC | 03 Jan 2013 | 02 Jun 2013 |
Implications of Clustering for network based processes | EPSRC | 03 Jan 2010 | 02 Jan 2013 |
Supplement to 23191: State-of-the-art epidemic simulation | Wellcome Trust | 01 Sep 2010 | 31 Aug 2012 |
State-of-the-art epidemic simulation | Wellcome Trust | 01 Sep 2010 | 31 Aug 2012 |
From Curiosity to Curative-developing Bdellovibrio as Living Antibiotics between Farm and Fork | BBSRC | 01 Oct 2008 | 01 Oct 2011 |
The Mathematics of Complexity Science and Systems Biology | EPSRC | 01 Sep 2009 | 31 Aug 2011 |
Social Contact Survey and Modelling Spread of Influenza | MRC | 01 Sep 2008 | 31 Aug 2011 |
Year 5: Hierarchial models for the spatio-temporaral dynamics of infectious diseases (sub award 3-U01-GM-07626) | University of Pennsylvania | 01 Feb 2010 | 31 Jan 2011 |
Decision making frameworks in management of livestock disease: interaction of epidemology, economics and politics | ESRC | 01 Sep 2007 | 31 Aug 2010 |
Bayesian Statistical Modelling and Inference for Infectious Diseases within Human Populations | National Institute for Health Research (DoH) | 01 Oct 2009 | 01 May 2010 |
BBSRC Mathematics vacation bursaries scheme 2009 | BBSRC | 01 Jul 2009 | 08 Sep 2009 |
State of the Art Epidemic Modelling Toolbox | The Health Protection Agency | 01 Apr 2006 | 01 Apr 2009 |
Spatio-temporal dynamics of livestock infections: generic concepts of prediction | Wellcome Trust | 01 Mar 2006 | 28 Feb 2009 |
Hierarchial models for the spatio-temporaral dynamics of infectious diseases YEAR 4 | University of Pennsylvania | 01 Feb 2008 | 31 Jan 2009 |
Hierarchical Models for the Spatio-temporaral Dynamics of Infectious Diseases | University of Pennsylvania | 01 Jan 2006 | 31 Dec 2008 |
SARS Control FP6 STREP | European Commission | 01 Jan 2005 | 31 Dec 2008 |
From NonLinear Dynamics to Systems Biology | London Mathematical Society | 01 Dec 2008 | 03 Dec 2008 |
BBSRC Vacation Bursary 2008 | BBSRC | 01 Jul 2008 | 31 Aug 2008 |
Hierarchical Models for the Spatio-temporaral Dynamics of Infectious Diseases YEAR 2 | University of Pennsylvania | 31 Jan 2007 | 31 Jul 2008 |
Prediction and optimal control of invading epidemic diseases | EPSRC | 01 Oct 2004 | 01 Oct 2007 |
Prediction and optimal control of invading epidemic diseases | EPSRC | 01 Oct 2004 | 01 Oct 2007 |
Transmission modelling and risk assessment for the released or newly emergent infectious disease agents. FP6 STREP | EU | 01 Oct 2004 | 30 Sep 2007 |
Evolution of disease: current patterns and future trends | National Institutes of Health | 01 Sep 2003 | 31 Aug 2007 |
Evolution of disease: current patterns and future trends | National Institutes of Health | 01 May 2003 | 01 May 2007 |
Evolution of disease: current patterns and future trends | National Institutes of Health | 01 May 2003 | 01 May 2007 |
Philip Leverhulme Prize Proposal for Dr M Keeling - The Ecology and Evolution of Spatial Host-Parasite Systems | Leverhulme Trust | 01 Jan 2005 | 01 Jan 2007 |
Royal Society Research Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Oct 2003 | 30 Sep 2006 |
Royal Society Research Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Oct 2003 | 30 Sep 2006 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2006 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2006 |
Arian Influenza Epidemiological Modelling and Economic Assessment Project RMP/2910 | Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs | 26 Nov 2005 | 28 Apr 2006 |
Social Network Characteristics of a Highly Active HIV/STD Core Group Amendment 4 to Subcontract No 201-6-0698A | University of Texas Health Center - Houston Medical School | 01 Jul 2004 | 30 Jun 2005 |
Social Network Characteristics of a Highly Active HIV/STD Core Group Amendment 4 to Subcontract No 201-6-0698A | University of Texas Health Center - Houston Medical School | 01 Jul 2004 | 30 Jun 2005 |
Social Network Characteristics of a Highly Active HIV/STD Core Group Amendment 4 to Subcontract No 201-6-0698A | University of Texas Health Center - Houston Medical School | 01 Jul 2004 | 30 Jun 2005 |
Social Network Characteristics of a Highly Active HIV/STD Core Group Amendment 4 to Subcontract No 201-6-0698A | University of Texas Health Center - Houston Medical School | 01 Jul 2004 | 30 Jun 2005 |
Social Characteristics of a Highly Active HIV/STD Core G | University of Texas Health Center - Houston Medical School | 01 Jul 2003 | 30 Jun 2004 |
Social Characteristics of a Highly Active HIV/STD Core G | University of Texas Health Center - Houston Medical School | 01 Jul 2003 | 30 Jun 2004 |
Subproject of Toolbox of Mathematical Risk Modelling Techniques | Centre for Applied Microbiology | 01 May 2003 | 30 Sep 2003 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2003 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2003 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2003 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2003 |
Research Expenses for Royal Society Fellowship | Royal Society | 01 Jan 2002 | 30 Sep 2002 |
I am happy to receive enquires about PG Research projects in my group, please contact me at the above email address.