# EPSRC Symposium Capstone Conference

**Mini Symposium on Lagrangian Structure, Lagrangian Data**

Organisers: Colin Cotter, Sophia Olhede and Jonathan Lilly

Wednesday 1 July 2009** **

Speakers

**Simon Cotter** (Warwick) *Lagrangian **Data Assimilation for a Viscous Incompressible Fluid (*Collaboration with Masoumeh Dashti, James Robinson and Andrew Stuart)

over a period of time. We formulate this as a Bayesian inverse problem, giving rise to a probability measure on function space for the initial vector field, and the forcing (or model error). We will describe a well-posed mathematical setting for this problem and describe the results of effective MCMC methods that allow us to sample from such a posterior distribution.

**Shane Elipot** (Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory) *The transfer function for wind-driven oceanic currents*

The drifter velocity data, combined with wind data, are used to infer the transfer function in the spectral domain from the atmospheric wind stress to the wind-driven current. In order to interpret physically the observed response to atmospheric forcing, these observations are compared to theoretical transfer functions arising from a suite of theoretical models for the oceanic top boundary layer.

Some general mathematical properties of these transfer functions are discussed and it is shown in particular that the boundary conditions of the theoretical models are crucial in setting their limiting behavior around the resonant inertial frequency.

**Emilio Hernandez-Garcia** IFISC (CSIC-UIB) *Stretching fields and lines in ocean transport dynamics*

**Jonathan Lilly** (Earth and Space Research) • Joint work with Sofia Olhede, UCL • *Inferring Oceanic Vortex Properties from Lagrangian Data*

The large amounts of data from freely – drifting, or "Lagrangian", subsurface floats have opened a unique window into the structure and variability of the deep ocean currents. Plots of the trajectories from these floats are typically called "spaghetti diagrams" because of their chaotic and frequently looping character. We have developed a method to use this data to infer the properties of oceanic vortices, also known as "coherent eddies". Such vortices are known to be important for transport and mixing of heat and salt, but are difficult to parameterize in models on account of their longevity and ability to translate long distances.

Our method is based on an extension of the ideas of "instantaneous moments" for the analysis of non-stationary (i.e., inhomogeneous in time) univariate signals to the bivariate case. Estimation of the time-varying instantaneous moments is accomplished via a generalization of wavelet ridge analysis to multivariate signals. Random fluctuations – due to instrument noise and the red background flow---lead to stochastic distributions of the estimated instantaneous moments, which we solve for.

Due to a direct relationship between eddy properties and the instantaneous moments of a bivariate oscillation, important aspects of the eddy structure such as its time-varying vorticity can then be inferred, and bounded by error bars. This formalizes an automated and objective solution for the extraction of vortex structures, a task which has hitherto been accomplished by more subjective means.

See also:

Mathematics Research Centre

Mathematical Interdisciplinary Research at Warwick (MIR@W)

Past Events

Past Symposia

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